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Turf Show Times - All Posts #7and9bullshit...has ended!
“I would not be surprised if Goff doesn’t get a second contract with the Rams.”by 3k on May 23, 2019 at 9:27 pm
Well that’s a taek! Dan Patrick: If you were gonna give out these franchise contracts, would you be willing to give it to [Dallas Cowboys QB] Dak Prescott or [Los Angeles Rams QB] Jared Goff first? Mike Florio: Oh, Dak Prescott without question. I’m very skeptical about Jared Goff, and I would not be surprised if he doesn’t get a second contract with the Rams. ... I think there’s a chance that [Rams Head Coach] Sean McVay at some point is going to find his own guy. Remember, he inherited Jared Goff. There may be somebody that McVay is eyeing at some point to come in and be that long-term guy, because you gotta ask yourself, “Am I willing to commit $35m a year to Jared Goff? Or could I find a younger guy who I get a lot cheaper and put pieces around him?” That’s the biggest problem now. You have those early years with a young quarterback where he’s dirt cheap under the rookie wage scale. And then you have to ask yourself, “Do we pay huge money?” Eventually, somebody’s going to say, “We’re just not going to pay the huge money. We’ll go find somebody else.” That was Pro Football Talk’s Mike Florio on Dan Patrick today offering a somewhat new angle on a take we’ve seen before. In mid-September, ESPN’s Bill Barnwell ran through the idea of trading Goff and building around a new, inexpensive quarterback through the draft that kicked the “System QB” calls into gear. So we’ve seen various versions of this since then, though I haven’t seen one that so vociferously advocated for Prescott to be worth paying top dollar while suggesting Goff hasn’t earned the same. What I think is a bit off here is the timing. Prescott’s going into his final contract season. Goff is under contract for two more. There’s no reason for the Rams to move on this now. They’ve handed out major contract extensions to three players after three seasons in the era with Chief Operating Officer and Executive Vice President of Football Operations Kevin Demoff and Special Assistant Tony Pastoors handling contract negotiations: EDGE Robert Quinn, WR Tavon Austin and RB Todd Gurley. I’m not sure any of the three look favorable after the fact. The prudent thing here is to let Goff play out the two years. Should he continue to improve along the line of trajectory he has set out from his rookie season through last year, I don’t see how the Rams could avoid handing him a record-breaking deal. Barnwell himself acknowledged that should Goff become “a face-of-the-franchise superstar,” the Rams would have to re-sign him. And obviously on the heels of the Super Bowl performance should Goff have a regression in 2019, there will be an even larger plurality (a majority?) of Rams fans who voice skepticism about Goff not just as the long-term starter, but a handsomely-paid long-term starter. It’s May. Taeks like this are going to cut through the silence. In the end, the Rams need to be patient enough to let the two seasons they have Goff locked up for in front of them pass to have as much data as possible before handing out the biggest contract in team history. […]
Ranking the Rams offseason moves for 2019by Sosa Kremenjas on May 23, 2019 at 1:20 pm
How do the Rams’ offseason moves rank for just 2019? Now that majority of the offseason has passed, we can take a look at the totality of the plan for the 2019 offseason put together by General Manager Les Snead and company. With many moves being made (both adding/subtracting guys, the draft, etc), we can assign the importance of every move in terms of the 2019 season. Let’s jump right into it: 19. Letting LG Rodger Saffold walk in free agency I disliked this move when it happened, and still do. Saffold was a stalwart on the Rams’ offensive line, and losing an elite protector is never a positive. The worst part of the loss of Saffold was that he was lost over a very fair four-year $44m contract. 18. Letting DT Ndamukong Suh walk in free agency Another walk, Suh was just signed a few days ago by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers after the release of long-time DT Gerald McCoy. Suh was thought to be a one-year rental when he signed with the Rams, and unfortunately that turned out to be true. 17. Re-signing Edge Dante Fowler Jr. to a one-year contract I didn’t hate the idea of bring Fowler back, but the price was simply too high. Fowler — who has played on an almost exactly identical level as fellow free agent pass rusher Shaq Barrett — is going to get paid $8-10m more than Barrett in 2019. Fowler simply isn’t a $12-14m player, though the Rams were clearly desperate when it came to the edge position. 16. Signing Edge Clay Matthews to a two-year contract in free agency This move was rather “boring”, though it could turn out to be a decent addition if all things workout as planned. Matthews’ deal is a two-year $9.25m contract, though that number can skyrocket to $16.75m by way of incentives. Matthews simply isn’t the same player he once was, but he’s still a definite upgrade over former starter Samson Ebukam. 15. Declining C John Sullivan’s option Letting Sully walk saved the Rams $5.25m, though the move means a veteran is replaced by essentially a redshirted rookie. Brian Allen has the chance to step in and replace Sully, though it’ll be tough for a young guy to recreate the experience of a 125-game starter. 14. Cutting S Blake Countess Countess was a mainstay on the Rams’ special teams units, though the additions of Eric Weddle and Taylor Rapp ensured he was no longer needed. Countess will bring value to his new team (Philadelphia Eagles), but his time ran out in horns. 13. Drafting OL Bobby Evans with the 97th pick in the 2019 NFL Draft Evans may or may not be a good player. What he will be is the sixth offensive lineman and the first backup to be called upon in case of injury. Evans will prove to have plenty of value in 2019 as he could very well see the field in jumbo lineups, or by way of injury. 12. Matching RB Malcolm Brown’s offer sheet from Detroit Lions The Lions offered Brown a two-year $3.25m when he was tendered at the original round level. The Rams decided to match the offer sheet, meaning Brown returned to the Rams. The amount of money is very minimal, and Brown has plenty of experience in this system. His return is a positive move. 11. Letting RB C.J. Anderson walk The Lions ended up signing Anderson after the Rams matched the offer sheet for Malcolm Brown, and I had no issues with letting CJA walk. Anderson was a major spark for the Rams in 2018, though they had a clear plan to lessen Todd Gurley’s workload moving forward, and CJA wasn’t a part of it. 10. Drafting Greg Gaines with the 134th pick in the 2019 NFL Draft Gaines immediately steps in as the Rams’ starting nose tackle, and he’s not likely to have much legit competition on the roster. Gaines’ ability to stuff the run will immediately improve the run defense, and his role ensures a healthy amount of playing time in 2019. 9. Drafting S Taylor Rapp with the 61st pick in the 2019 NFL Draft Rapp probably isn’t going to have a massive impact in 2019, though he’ll likely be an impact player every time he does touch the field. Rapp will likely see a handful of snaps on defense, coupled with as much as he can absorb on special teams. The duo of Marqui Christian and Blake Countess logged 400 defensive snaps in 2018, meaning playing time will present itself for Rapp. 8. Letting S Lamarcus Joyner Walk Joyner was not good in 2018, it’s really that simple. The Rams were not going to pay him after the season he had, so it was best to let him move on. The Oakland Raiders also paid an astronomically high amount in the average of $10.5m per year over four years. 7. Cutting ILB Mark Barron Barron hasn’t been healthy in years, and it showed when he was on the field. Not only that, but his contract suggested he was one of the best linebackers in the NFL, and he simply wasn’t. The Rams saved $7.6m on the cap by letting Barron go. 6. Placing second-round restricted free agent tender on ILB Cory Littleton Littleton was going to be back regardless, though the selection of the tender was the cherry on top. The Rams could have panicked and placed a first-round tender on Littleton, though the difference was roughly $2m in cap space. Knowing the chances were low of a team sacrificing a second-round pick as well as a contract, the Rams made a fantastic decision by only placing a second-round tender on their defensive captain. 5. Letting QB Sean Mannion Walk Uhmmmm, yeah. Mannion was very bad. This was easy. 4. Signing QB Blake Bortles After letting one of the worst backup QB’s in the NFL walk, the Rams replaced Mannion with one of the best in Bortles. Not only that, but they got Bortles inked on a one-year $1m contract. Not many teams can say their backup quarterback started in a conference championship game. 3. Accepting 5th-year option on CB Marcus Peters This move was a no-brainer, though it was still a solid one. Peters’ first season with the Rams was a strange one as the first half of the season was very bad, though the second half/playoffs was a complete turnaround. Peters will be paid a touch under $9.1m on the option in 2019, buying the Rams another year of time to evaluate Peters’ fit in Defensive Coordinator Wade Phillips’ defense. 2. Drafting RB Darrell Henderson with the 70th pick in the 2019 NFL Draft I cannot overstate how much I like this move. It’s a demonstration of a fantastic move for a multitude of reasons. First, it means Todd Gurley can decrease his workload with little to no drop-off in production in the run game. Second, the Rams didn’t invest in a running back with a very high pick. Third, Henderson is the perfect zone-scheme running back, and the Rams deploy outside zone runs more than any other NFL team. 1. Signing S Eric Weddle to a two-year contract Weddle steps in as the starting safety next to John Johnson III, forming a fantastic duo on the backend for at least one season (likely two). Weddle is a potential future hall-of-famer who has the versatility to rotate with JJ3 in a multitude of roles. Moving on from Joyner to Weddle was a massive upgrade. […]
Random Ramsdom, 5/23by Joey The Jerk on May 23, 2019 at 12:00 pm
How did Sean McVay cope after the Super Bowl loss? And how is LA Rams LB Clay Matthews adjusting to his new team? Please enjoy these and other stories. Sean McVay did ‘a lot of drinking’ after Super Bowl loss | Rams Wire This makes sense as Sean McVay put so much of his heart and soul into his coaching of the Los Angeles Rams. McVay reveals that he wasn’t aware of how New Orleans Saints head coach Sean Payton reacted to the NFC Championship loss with ice cream. Former Rams DE opens up about marijuana use in his NFL career | Sports Illustrated Having just retired from the NFL, DE Chris Long, always a great interview, revealed on The Dan Patrick Show that he’s been a pot user for years and even had some interesting things to say about the NFL drug testing process, calling it ‘arbitrary.’ Feeling comfortable back in L.A., C. Matthew shares how he fits in | Rams official site Former Green Bay Packers LB and current LA Ram, Clay Matthews gave some encouraging quotes from the LA Rams facility in Thousand Oaks, California. Weddle won’t share Ravens’ secrets with Rams before week 12 game | Rams Wire S Eric Weddle’s former team, the Baltimore Ravens, won’t have to worry about inside information being leaked to the Rams. Brockers is feeling refreshed going into 8th season | Rams official site DL Michael Brockers is only 28 years-old, but it seems like he’s been with the LA Rams for decades. Rams insider Myles Simmons lays downs some quotes from the veteran about his hopes for the upcoming season. 2019 is the most important year for Goff | LA Sports Hub I don’t really buy into this talk about QB Jared Goff needing to prove himself this season any more than it was a narrative last season. The guy needs to produce, as do all of the starters on the team. The whole concept of a year being more important than other years is kind of pointless when you’re in the thick of it. Sure, in hindsight, you can look back and say one season was less important than the other, but you get it. It’s May, what are you going to do? […]
Predicting Just Todd’s 2019 statisticsby 3k on May 22, 2019 at 5:13 pm
Just Todd Gurley has been the centerpiece of the Rams’ offense for four seasons. Is this the year that changes? And if so, what does that mean for his running game outputs? Los Angeles Rams RB Todd Gurley is headed toward a blank page. JTG came out of the 2019 postseason on the back of limited playing time and misleading commentary from himself and Rams Head Coach Sean McVay to the point that nobody, inside Rams HQ or out, has a firm grasp on what Gurley’s 2019 season will look like. A recent article from the Athletic’s Vinny Bonsignore and Rich Hammond looked to project Gurley’s 2019 season statistically. It’s a courageous effort given the unknowns. Hammond voiced the unknowns well: Arthritis is a scary word, and if that’s what Gurley is dealing with — it’s been reported as such, and the Rams haven’t pushed back — then clearly changes will be afoot in 2019. But how significant? If Gurley’s situation is mild, perhaps it can be managed through rest and medication, and he will retain the form that allowed him to be one of the league’s most dynamic offensive players in 2017 and 2018. We just don’t know. This isn’t a torn ACL or a broken ankle, an injury with a fixed recovery timetable. Gurley could feel fine for weeks, or even months, then wake up one morning and feel stiff and sore. The Rams could do everything right, in terms of rest and usage, and still lose Gurley at some point. Complicating matters is that the Rams, to put it mildly, have been opaque about this issue. That’s understandable, in the sense that they don’t want opponents to essentially get a glimpse at their sensitive medical matters, but when McVay repeatedly insisted before the Super Bowl that Gurley was 100 percent, that clearly was not a full representation of the issue. That might be a nice way of putting it. So in considering where Gurley’s headed statistically, let’s first look at 2018. Gurley’s season can be broken down into four periods. Weeks 1-13: The Rams enjoyed their full running back depth chart with Malcolm Brown backing Gurley up. Weeks 14-15: Brown injured his clavicle against the Detroit Lions in Week 13, and the Rams didn’t make a move to bring in a replacement meaning the RB depth chart was Gurley> John Kelly> Justin Davis. That didn’t leave a valve to spell Gurley that the staff was comfortable giving carries. Weeks 16-17: Gurley aggravated his knee in Week 15 and missed the final two regular season games. The Rams signed RB C.J. Anderson who leapfrogged Kelly and Davis to immediately take on roughly 66% of the rushing workload with Kelly taking the other third. The postseason: Gurley returned into a jobshare with Anderson. The three games were distinct in usage, but overall Anderson had three-fifths of the carries with Gurley the remaining 40%. So in looking from 2018 to 2019, we’ve got two clear distinctions to consider. One will be Gurley’s overall readiness. Despite what we’ve learned about his knee and his usage in the playoffs, I’m not sure that Gurley can’t be as “healthy” for Week 1 for the 2019 season as he was for Week 1 last year. That being said, there is the obvious potential for Gurley to be less available physically. If that’s the case, then clearly we’re going to see a major reduction in his usage at least early on in the season. There’s also the nature of reaggravating the knee which would incur a major reduction as well if not some time off like at the end of the regular season. The second factor is the addition of RB Darrell Henderson through the 2019 NFL Draft. The Rams opted not to re-sign Anderson. Instead, they traded up to use the 70th overall pick to take Henderson. If the staff favored Anderson’s inclusion with Gurley throughout the playoffs, their willingness to move on from him and sacrifice draft capital for Hendo is a strong signal that they’ll favor their newest running back even moreso. So those two factors will clearly affect the outputs once we get to the season. Before we get to any statistical projection though, let’s check the math on Gurley’s usage in those four periods from 2018: Period 1, Weeks 1-13: 700 snaps (85.05% of RB snaps, 58.33 snaps/gm), 223 carries (83.83% of RB carries, 18.58 carries/gm) Period 2, Weeks 14-15: 125 snaps (91.24%, 62.5), 23 (85.19%, 11.5) Period 3, Weeks 16-17: N/A Period 4, postseason: 120 (56.34%, 40), 30 (39.47%, 10) There was a significant reduction in Gurley’s rushing outputs over the back end of the season without a major reduction in snaps prior to the playoffs. In his first eight regular season games in 2018, Gurley averaged 21.13 carries per game. The final six regular season games? Just 14.5. That obviously preceded his playoff output of 10 carries per game in the jobshare with Anderson. So 2019. Bonsignore has Gurley averaging 15 carries per game (that’s 240 total) finishing with 1,070 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns. Hammond goes with 200 carries (12.5 per game), 960 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns on the ground. I’m inclined to go with something closer to Hammond’s projection less because of Gurley and more because of Henderson. The Rams’ coaching staff clearly was attracted to Anderson’s outputs and the versatility he added to their ground game in the playoffs to the degree that it persuaded some media members to go as far as to dismiss Gurley’s injury as a factor whatsoever. Consider then what will happen when Henderson has a good game especially if it comes in a game where Gurley doesn’t put up huge numbers. So I’m going to take the under and go with: 186 carries for 952 yards (a career-high 5.12 yards per rush) and 15 touchdowns What’s your prediction for JTG in 2019? […]
David Long Q&A with Maize n Brewby 3k on May 22, 2019 at 2:00 pm
Getting the inside info on Long from the manager of UW Dawg Pound, the SB Nation community for fans of the Washington Huskies. With the 79th overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, the Los Angeles Rams selected Michigan Wolverines CB David Long. So to get a better sense of what the Rams picked up, I linked up with Anthony Broome of Maize n Brew, the SB Nation community for fans of the Wolverines. A lot of the players the Rams picked up came from humbler origins on the recruiting trail. Not so with Long. He was part of that monster 2016 class which was Michigan Head Coach Jim Harbaugh’s first full haul in charge led by DL Rashan Gary with OL Ben Bredeson, Long, LB Devin Bush and others filling out the top 10 rake. But for a program like UM, you guys are used to bringing players of that caliber. Many don’t work out. When did you know Long was a legit hit? You’re right in that Michigan is used to getting four and five-star type of guys, and many of them do not pan out. That really is just the nature of college football recruiting. Big-time prospects bust while unheralded recruits come in and outperform their ranking. For Long, it simply was him coming in and being a factor early on. The interesting thing about him is that he never had a ton of buzz among the fanbase because he did his job and did it quietly. Anyone that watched him play knew he was a good player, but often times people were not woke to just how good he was until you saw an analytics graphic from Pro Football Focus or something like that. Long stepped into the starting role as a sophomore in 2017 and never looked back. You’ve seen plenty of him. What stands out from his skill set? What makes him an NFL-level cornerback? His coverage skills are extremely impressive and as I said before, I think he sort of fell between the cracks because he did not create a ton of turnovers. You don’t have to when you erase the guy across from you. Are there any concerns Rams fans should have? Much like when Long arrived in Ann Arbor to set up as young depth behind Jourdan Lewis and Channing Stribling, Long returns to LA knowing that Aqib Talib and Marcus Peters have the top spots on the depth chart locked down. What might he need to work on in his rookie season before becoming a full-time starter in 2020? I wonder how he will fare if asked to play zone because Michigan played a lot of press and man coverage in his college career. When they went up against Ohio State this past year, guys like Parris Campbell and Terry McLaurin absolutely torched the back end of Michigan’s defense because they were simply out-athleted. The NFL is full of those guys, so that would certainly be a concern to me. I think he is more than capable, but in his situation it seems he won’t be rushed to be an instant-impact guy. Obviously, you guys have been sending the NFL talent for...the entire history of football. There haven’t been a ton of Wolverine cornerbacks coming out though. Leon Hall has had a long go. Lewis seemed to get pushed out of Dallas’ rotation by and large last year. And Jeremy Clark is trying just to eke out a career. Obviously Rams fans remember former UM and former New England Patriots CB Ty Law. Not sure we remember him “well”, but let’s start there as a jumping off point for recency. Where does David Long rank on the list of recent corners? Could he join that tier of Hall and Law? He is very good, but he is probably a tick below some of those elite names. I even think that Jourdan Lewis was a better player, but Long would be in that next tier to me. This seems like a very, very, very big season for Michigan football. Obviously the Harbaugh era has been better than the years under Brady Hoke and Rich Rodriguez, but you guys have flirted with such high levels of success. The 2016 season fell off course by a hair’s breadth. Even last year, you guys moved all the way up to fourth before a certain late season game...but this year could be the one. You’re all but certain to be a preseason top 10 pick. There’s so much returning on offense for new Offensive Coordinator Josh Gattis to oversee. The schedule is littered with huge tests, but I could totally understand optimism from the fans this year. How are you feeling about this year? Is it confidence from all the strong bullets on the resume or are you a bit hesitant to buy in? Do you think Harbaugh can overcome his issues facing top 10 teams or are you worried the struggles will continue? And who are the major Wolverines in 2019 that NFL fans should keep an eye out for to filter up to our level in the years to come? I am firmly in the “believe it when I see it camp.” They play all of their big games late in the year so they will be somewhat unproven until the stretch run. In theory, they have made all the necessary changes they had to make coming off of last season and now we just need to see it. I think the offense will be much more fun to watch, but there will still wind up being a feeling-out process. As far as NFL guys to keep an eye on, Shea Patterson has a chance to rocket up draft boards in an offense better suited to his skill-set as a passer and almost their entire wide receiver room has NFL-caliber guys. Being that Sean McVay loves his chess pieces, keep an eye on the wideouts in Donovan Peoples-Jones, Tarik Black and Nico Collins. Thanks to Anthony for the time. […]